Mortgage rates today, 10-year Treasury yield, October CPI and CRE Q4 deal forecasts for November 13, 2026
This week's Freddie Mac mortgage rate, the latest Fed H.15 yields, the October CPI release, a JPMorgan cut to Q4 brokerage forecasts and Colliers industrial absorption, each read on its source page.
30-year mortgage rate today: Freddie Mac reports 7.11% on November 12, 2026
Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey for November 12, 2026 shows the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaging 7.11%, down from 7.18% the prior week and up from 6.24% a year earlier. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.45%, down from 6.57% the prior week and up from 5.49% a year earlier.
Our view
Our view: the 30-year rate fell 7 basis points in a week but is still 87 basis points above where it was a year ago.
10-year Treasury yield today: 4.98% on November 10, 2026
The Federal Reserve's H.15 release, published November 12, 2026, shows the 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield at 4.98% on November 10, up from 4.88% on November 9, 4.86% on November 6 and 4.84% on November 5. The 2-year yield was 4.73% and the 30-year yield was 5.35% on November 10. Markets were closed on November 11.
Our view
Our view: the 10-year gained 10 basis points on November 10, the largest one-day move in this week of data.
October 2026 CPI: prices up 0.4% in the month, shelter up 0.3%, no 12-month rate published
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the Consumer Price Index for all items increased 0.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in October 2026, and the index for shelter rose 0.3 percent. BLS says it cannot publish 12-month percent changes for October 2026 because October 2025 data were not collected during a lapse in appropriations.
Our view
Our view: with no 12-month figure for October, the monthly changes are the only inflation numbers this release gives lenders and investors.
CRE brokerage Q4 forecasts: JPMorgan now sees flat capital markets revenue, not 10% growth
CRE Daily reports that JPMorgan now expects Q4 capital markets revenue at CBRE, JLL, Cushman & Wakefield and Colliers to be flat year over year, down from an earlier call for 10% growth. CBRE's Bob Sulentic said cap rates have risen, contracted sales are being retraded and some expected deals are turning into refinancings. The article says Q4 typically brings about 30% of a year's capital markets revenue.
Our view
Our view: the cut is JPMorgan's forecast, not a statement from the brokerages, so read it as an outside estimate.
Industrial net absorption hit 83M SF in Q3 2026, the most since 2022, Colliers says
CRE Daily, reporting Colliers' Q3 2026 industrial data, says net absorption was 83M SF against 71M SF of deliveries, and national vacancy fell to 7.2%. Dallas-Fort Worth led absorption at 15.4M SF, ahead of Chicago at 8.8M SF and Houston at 8.3M SF. Colliers puts space under construction at 329M SF, up 19% from a year earlier.
Our view
Our view: vacancy fell while 329M SF is still under construction, so new supply remains a number to watch.